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This morning on Forbes.com, I read an article about the cities in America that are most likely to weather this real estate market, and be a great long term investment. Forbes listed the top ten as:

10. Atlanta, Georgia

9. Portland Oregon

8: Cincinnati, Ohio

7. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

6. St. Louis, Missouri

5. New York, New York

4. Minneapolis, Minnesota

3. San Antonio, Texas

2. Washington, D.C.

1. Seattle, Washington

Living in the Pacific Northwest (Well, south west to those of us in Victoria, BC, Canada), Seattle was not a surprise at number one. However, I found some of the cities on the list to be quite surprising, such as New York, where housing has been so horrifically over priced for some time – Or a Midwest city like Minneapolis, where one would assume businesses are feeling the crunch, which would be reflected in the property prices.

However, looking at this list in detail, it is possible to see that these cities all share things in common that make them more likely to ride the current crisis, and therefore great places to buy real estate. I am not suggesting that you pack up your belongings and hot-foot it to Cincinnati. However, what we should be doing is looking at where we want to buy, and seeing if the area has similar characteristics which may make it a good deal. Smart buying is the new way to buy in this market.

Everyone loves….

Do you live somewhere where everyone wants to live? I live in Victoria, British Columbia, and while it was one of the most expensive places to live in Canada at the height of the boom, I am not quite throwing myself off my third floor condo just yet. Why? Because Victoria is well known for being the place where people want to retire to in Canada. The city is beautiful, the weather is usually excellent, (note: we are currently having freak winter temperatures of -4°c. This is not normal….bbrrrr…) and it’s an all round great place to live. Whatever happens, these things will not change, and people will still want to move here. So if you live in an area that is growing in terms of incoming population, you might just make it through the next few years.

Taking care of Business?

Minneapolis may be in the Midwest, but unlike other failing Midwestern cities, Minneapolis has less of a manufacturing base, and has diversified in the way that has kept it going through current hard times. A number of corporations are based in and around Minneapolis, such as Target, General Mills and PepsiAmericas inc.

Look at the companies in your town. While nowadays it’s very hard to guess which companies are going to survive, and which won’t, if there are a number of stable corporations, you should be safe. Also, if like Minneapolis, your town has diversified, and doesn’t depend on just one industry (such as forestry or automobiles); this is also a good indication of a ‘safe’ place to buy.

Low unemployment is also an important factor. If the number of ‘positions vacant’ signs are larger than the amount of ‘for sale’ signs, you’re on to a winner.

No.place else to go!

Sprawling cities such as Sacramento allowed developers to build build build. However, New York and San Francisco are both places where there isn’t really any space to build extensively - which means that property still sells because people have to live somewhere, and less housing = more people who want to buy your condo.

Conservative building practices

While everyone may have been frustrated about strict building codes and practices in the past…you should now be running over to those city officials and kissing them all over. Why? Because cities with strict building codes will be more likely to recover from this recession. For the same reason as the space point above, people have to live somewhere, and if there are less places to buy, those that are for sale, sell.

A little note about foreclosures…

While foreclosures are more of a symptom, rather than a cause, the disease metaphor works because if your city is riddled with unemployment, a bad economy, and a lack of people moving to the area, you’ll see more foreclosures. So, unless you are looking to buy a foreclosed property (and there are plenty of good reasons for that), you might want to avoid areas with a high level of foreclosures.

In the end, we’re all trying to look for hope in this market. However, buying in areas where these things occur is always going to be a safer and more sensible way to buy real estate in the current market. Most of these points are common sense – but that may be the way in which we come out of this market – slow and steady wins the race. So buy smartly – which will help you to sell smartly in the future.

The views expressed on the blog portion of this site represent only the opinions of the author and may not necessarily be the opinions of Realestock.com

It’s another monumental week in the real estate world. Once again, Taking ’stock supplies you with some interesting tidbits to keep you up to date on various world developments (no pun intended). If you read anything in the news that you think should be in next week’s blog, feel free to comment on the posting. Alternatively, if you want to comment on any of the stories listed here, let us know what you think!

Luxury Real Estate News/Views

Neighbor says Golf is a Sport Too Close (New York Times)

A lot of people want to be near to their favourite golf course…but how near is too near? A resident whose house is next to the 6th hole (a par 3) at the Winged Foot Golf Club is sick of golf balls hitting his property, breaking his windows, scaring his children, and making his dog sick. The hole is currently closed due to a restraining order brought against the club. You know it has to be serious when Donald Trump is offering to mediate.

It’s not Easy Being Green - If You are Buying a Luxury Home…

This week’s Realestock blog entry looks at how many luxury buyers are not concerned about their homes being environmentally sound. However, some developments are managing to combine good living with good style.

America’s Luxury Homes, Downsized (Forbes)

On a similar theme, Forbes.com has written this interesting article about how many popular luxury properties are smaller than traditional ‘luxury’ housing. This is partially due to the lack of space, growth of environmentalism, worries about reselling the property in this less than buoyant market, and, more importantly, because it isn’t 1987, and big doesn’t necessarily mean classy. After all, is it better to have Foie Gras, or a Big Mac?

Worldwide Property News/Views

China’s Homeowners Feeling Little Pain (Newsweek)

Here in North America, we are all on tenterhooks, fearful to hear what will happen to the property market next. However, in China, people are not feeling the pinch as we are. According to Newsweek, the cost of an average home has increased fourfold in the past eight years, and China’s 80-million strong middle class are clambering to get on to the property ladder. Whether the market will eventually deteriorate like ours is still uncertain, but for the moment, things are looking sunny for the Chinese market.

Have I Got the Candidate For You! How the Real-Estate Market Could Turn Florida for Obama (Slate.com)

We are all now acutely aware how politics can affect house prices. However, in Florida, the real estate market could affect the choice of candidate. Voters are looking at which candidate will save them from getting into negative equity. This choice could be crucial as to who becomes the next president: because as Al Gore knows, Florida can change an election.

Rise in Property Re-structuring, Recovery and Debt Business Expected (PropertyWire.com)

According to PropertyWire.com, many international real estate groups are moving into the restructuring and recovery business - due to the large amount of real estate developments and projects that are falling through due to a lack of funding, in addition to the large amount of foreclosures and other loan difficulties that are occurring.

 

The Barenaked Ladies may once have sung “If I had a million dollars”, but since the rise of “Who wants to be a Millionaire” or “Deal or No Deal”, the once giant amount of a million dollars has really begun to lose its meaning. If hanging out with Howie Mandel for an hour can make you a million - I’m in (however, two hours – might be too much).

Recently on Forbes.com, I read an article on what kind of real estate you can get for a million US dollars. Considering Realestock has luxury developments listed in various countries, I rushed to read it.

The differences are astonishing:

In Cape Town, you can get a five bedroom house with amazing views, a tennis court, pool and pool house, and a computerized irrigation system to water your extensive grounds

In Namibia, you can get a four bedroom, three bathroom ranch, with an additional one bedroom apartment to rent out, if you so wish

In Beijing, $1million gets you a four bedroom serviced apartment, with access to two pools and a gym

Your money does well in Toronto – You can get a three bedroom house, with beautiful bay windows and a pool

In Paris, you can get a two-bed duplex! However, you might want to stop jumping for joy – because that’s a 230 square foot duplex

What does $1 million buy in Tokyo? A 600-square foot, one bedroom apartment

A million dollars doesn’t go far in London, England, which is hardly a surprise. Forbes discovered a three bedroom flat in Maida Vale (a relatively upscale part of London), which they described as ‘drab’. Hey! In England we’d call that a ‘character’ apartment!

As for New York, prices are dropping, so your million goes a little further than it did a few months ago– you can now afford a one bedroom, 670 square foot apartment in Chelsea, with dramatic city views, a doorman, and various other amenities.

So what does this mean for luxury real estate? Possibly this indicates that the boundaries have changed, and that depending where you are buying, a million dollars doesn’t necessarily indicate luxury. If you spend $12 million, chances are you’ll still get that luxury home, - irrespective of where you shop, but in many of the most desirable cities, that sole million won’t go very far.

It also indicates the strength (or not) of the US Dollar – which is important for most sellers and developers, particularly for those selling their properties in the current ‘buyer’s market’. If you have properties in the US, you may find that British, Japanese or European customers may be interested in purchasing property in the States where their £500,000, €700,000 or ¥106,000,000 will go much further (Would you rather have a three bedroom house in the Hollywood Hills, or that ‘character’ flat in London?). Conversely, if you are selling a development in Costa Rica, Mexico, or somewhere else where US buyers will be able to stretch their dollars a little further, you may find that you’ll have more inquiries stateside.

Either way, what you need is international exposure, and knowledge of where to base your marketing and promotional dollars. Listing your property on Realestock is one way to do this. We have visitors from all over the world, so potential clients looking for the bigger bang for their buck, whether they’re in Berlin, Germany, or New Berlin, Wisconsin, will be able to view your property, and see what they can get for $500,000, $12 million, or indeed a million dollars. If you are really looking for that $1 million price tag, we have a range of condos, townhouses, and yes, even estates that are priced around the million mark. And look, you didn’t even need to phone a friend, or challenge the banker!

 

The views expressed on the blog portion of this site represent only the opinions of the author and may not necessarily be the opinions of Realestock.com